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Oil prices plunge over OPEC+ drama

Oil prices drifted lower amid reports revealing OPEC+ members are disconnected as regards to February crude oil output quota.

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Oil prices drifted lower at the second trading session of the year amid reports revealing OPEC+ members are disconnected as regards to February crude oil output quota.

What you must know: At the time of writing this report, Brent oil futures lost about 0.70% to trade at $50.70 a barrel, and West Texas Intermediate, futures were down more than 0.50% to trade at $47.55 a barrel, thereby giving up earlier gains sighted in Tuesday’s early trades.

Both major benchmarks lost more than 1% during the last trading session on the account that the oil cartel group was forced to extended Monday’s Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee, as its members failed to agree to reach a compromise on February’s oil output levels.

Also, oil traders had their minds distorted as fuel demand worries also continue to remain on major headlines on the bias that a number of global COVID-19 cases continue to rise and more nations introduce restrictive measures.

Stephen Innes, Chief Global Market Strategist at Axi in a note to Themoneymetrics gave an in-depth analysis of the fundamentals pushing oil prices lower and highlighted the mutant COVID-19 strain causing havoc in leading economies;

  • “The oil market toppled head over heels with broader markets as the sum of all fear for oil market concerns centers around lockdown consternations. All the while, OPEC was doing their best to hold prices in check emphasizing the need for continued cooperation and vigilance in the face of the uncertain outlook.
  • “The most worrying aspect for oil market concerns is the case of a brave new year giving way to the same old fear as the re-imposition of worldwide lockdown to defend against the coronavirus’s mutant strain will pose the greatest near-term risk on the path back to oil demand normalcy.”

What to expect: Far more important for crude oil traders will be news flow relating to the COVID-19 vaccine rollout, stimulus measures being considered by various governments, and how quickly the world can get back on the path to normal oil demand levels via the vaccine rollouts.

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COMMODITIES

Gold prices drop on U.S. Senate run-off elections

Gold futures dropped about 0.33% to trade at $1,947.

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Gold prices drifted lower at mid week’s trading session.

Traders are going short partly on awaited results of the U.S. Senate runoff election and gauging the prospects of further quantitative easing programs.

What you should know: At the time of writing this report, gold futures dropped about 0.33% to trade at $1,947.

Votes are presently being counted in the Georgia election, where two U.S Senate seats are up for grabs.

What this means: Traders are focusing on the outcome of such election results on the bias that it will determine which party will have control of the upper chamber in the U.S congress, and the ease with which President-elect Joe Biden can move his legislative agenda through.

Stephen Innes, Chief Global Market Strategist at Axi, in a note to Our source, spoke on the political macros weighing on gold prices:

 “Gold is in a holding pattern ahead of Georgia runoff results.

“Gold continues to trade on the front foot after a roaring start to 2021 for TIPS, which outperformed about everything on Monday and reached new highs.

“It feels like there was a wave of last-ditch efforts effort to have the ‘blue wave’ trade on ahead of a Topsy Turvy Tuesday Senate election runoff in Georgia.”

What to expect: gold traders are anticipating a pause in action today until the election results are released as any disappointment (i.e., no blue wave) there could cause some pullback. However, with a long end of the curve firmly supported by the reflation narrative, gold could remain well supported on dips.

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COMMODITIES

Gold on a grand slam win, gains $40 per ounce

Gold futures were trading at $1,937 an ounce printing a gain of $42 per ounce.

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The yellow metal pushed above $1,930 an ounce to hit the highest level seen in months, aided by a weaker greenback after posting its best annual gain in ten years.

The precious metal recent surge has been triggered by continual declines in U.S. real Treasury yields, which boosted the precious metal attractiveness.

At the time of writing this report, gold futures were trading at $1,937 an ounce printing a gain of $42 per ounce.

Stephen Innes, Chief Global Market Strategist at Axi in a note to our source spoke on markets sentiments triggering the precious metal prices to swing up;

“With the polls shading to a Democratic sweep such a result guarantees larger stimulus checks will be mailed out forthwith, and massive U.S. infrastructure spending packages get fast-tracked through Congress in Q1. All of which is sending risk sentiment through the roof.

“But a bigger US stimulus boost cannot be good for the U.S. dollar which is already brittle and snapping under the colossal weight of the massive U.S. budget and trade deficits.”

What to expect: Still, the increased US debt load will be music to gold investors’ ears, and the Democratic sweep could offer the ultimate spark to put gold above $2000/0z.

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COMMODITIES

Gold prices up amid poor U.S Jobs data report

At about 6.30 am, WAT (West African Time) Gold Futures traded at $1,841/ounce showing a gain of 0.20%.

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Gold prices ticked up at the last trading session of the week.

The gains prevailing at the precious metal market are coming on reports pointing jobs data prevailing in the world’s largest economy hinting a lot still needed to be done coupled with high uncertainty over the latest U.S. stimulus measures long-awaited by traders.

At about 6.30 am, WAT (West African Time) Gold Futures traded at $1,841/ounce showing a gain of 0.20%. The U.S dollar, which usually moves inversely to the precious metal, was down at the early hours of trading in London.

What this means: The recent American jobs data revealed 853,000 jobless claims were filed last week more than the 725,000 in forecast as such data suggests that the number of Jobless claims increased as more companies shut down due to ever-increasing numbers of COVID-19 cases prevailing at the world’s largest economy.

Stephen Innes, Chief Global Market Strategist at Axi in a note to our source spoke on the prevailing circumstances affecting the precious metal market;

“As we move into 2021, I would expect gold will simply become an inverse reaction function of the US dollar, which prevailed from 2010-2018. If you think the EURUSD goes to 1.25, you unequivocally need to own gold.

In the meantime, the lack of progress on the US fiscal deal the next and possibly more powerful knockdown to gold and silver could come from growing optimism over the vaccine.

“There is enough positive vaccine feel good to keep gold and silver pressured, near-term. The FDA approval could come as soon as Friday or Saturday, with the first US injections happening on Sunday or Monday, according to the chief adviser to the Trump administration on vaccine development,” Innes said.

What to expect; Investors, however, anticipate news from COVID-19 vaccines might continue to undermine gold and silver’s “safe-haven” demand in the mid-term as it is rolled out.

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