Raw petroleum costs started the primary exchanging meeting of the week on a bullish note. The accomplishment was set off after a typhoon in the Gulf of Mexico constrained major U.S oil makers to close down their oil rigs, yet the upsurge in unrefined petroleum costs were topped by developing worries about the falling interest for gas.
At the hour of this report, U.S. West Texas Intermediate increased 0.51%, to exchange at $37.52 per barrel, and Brent rough costs were up 0.25% to exchange at $39.93 per barrel.
Both raw petroleum contracts finished lower in the earlier week, its second sequential seven day stretch of decay.
Recently, Tropical tempest Sally, gotten its quality in the Gulf of Mexico, west of Florida, and was going to turn into a classification 2 typhoon. The typhoon storm is upsetting oil supplies for the second time in under about a month, after Storm Laura moved through the Gulf coast.
What it implies: Usually, unrefined petroleum costs flood higher when oil supplies are closed down, be that as it may, with the worldwide exponential development in COVID-19 caseloads, and oil request falling quickly, oil merchants remain moderately careful.
Stephen Innes, Chief Global Market Strategist at AxiCorp, in a note to our source, gave bits of knowledge into the essentials, definitely observed by oil merchants.
“Oil traders are back on hurricane watch, but it is all shoulders and heels while dancing to the tune of broader markets, amid more gloom on the supply-side,”
“Some Gulf of Mexico oil producers, on Saturday, idled production bracing for another hurricane brewing off Florida. But so far, the hurricane impact is getting offset by yet another gloomy short-term view that is likely limiting OPEC’s attempt to stabilize markets,”
“Reports that Libyan commander, Khalifa Haftar gave his ‘personal commitment’ to reopen the energy sectors, could bring more barrels back to the market at the most unwelcome time of the year,”
“Unquestionably, this could put OPEC+ in an even more giant pickle, when they hold a virtual meeting on Thursday to review the current production intervention level’s price impacts.”
Gold posts worst monthly decline since 2016, as U.S dollar keeps rising
The precious metal posted its worst monthly decline since 2016 as gold prices broke below the $1,750 support.
Gold has of late been under immense pressure, as the Dollar Index surged to a one-week high of 90.8. The safe-haven currency is an outright alternative to gold and typically pressures gold when it gains.
The precious metal posted its worst monthly decline since 2016 as gold prices broke below the $1,750 support at the last trading session of the week, following most commodities and global stocks lower for a second straight day as global investors readjusted their portfolios.
With Friday being the last trading session for the month of February, it wrapped up the month with a 6.6% decline, its worst since a 7.2% decline in November 2016.
Gold for April delivery lost about 2.6% to settle at $1,728.80 per ounce. It earlier plunged to $1,715.05, its lowest point since a June 8 bottom of $1,700.10.
For the week, the precious metal contract lost about 2.7% in value, following through with the previous week’s drop of 2.5%.
Stephen Innes, Chief Global Market Strategist at Axi, in a note to our source, spoke on other prevailing macros weighing heavily on gold prices
“The rise in real yields has seen gold under pressure with everyone selling. Although positioning is cleaner, the overall market is still long, and ETF selling negatively affects the market on actual position clean out rather than just speculative sell-off. Which is more worryingly an early sign of a capitulation.”
Gold traders are not keen on going bullish, at least for the near term, on the bias that rising U.S Treasury yields see investors showing less interest in the yellow metal.
Gold maintains shine after advancing for two days
The bullion asset regained its lustre after a 2.2% drop recorded in the past week,
Gold stayed on course at the second trading session of the week after advancing for two days, as metal traders awaited testimony from U.S Fed Chief, Jerome Powell.
At the time of drafting this report, the bullion asset traded at $1,807.24 an ounce after rising 1.9% over two days.
The U.S Fed Chief’s semi-annual report at the U.S congress today and the next day will be monitored by metal traders for further policy guidance, and his assessment of the economic recovery at the world’s largest economy.
The bullion asset regained its lustre after a 2.2% drop recorded in the past week, as traders refocus on rising inflation expectations.
In an explanatory note to Our source, Stephen Innes, Chief Global Market Strategist at Axi, gave valuable insights on how the precious metal managed to stay above the $ 1,800-ounce price level.
“It was a strange world seeing the commodity locomotive racing at full steam, but gold left-back at the station. But correlations are looking more normal today after yesterday morning signal gold was trading slightly higher in delayed response to USD weakness. A weaker US dollar remains one of the primary lift-off balloons.
Gold built on Friday’s modest rally, clearing and holding above the USD1,800/oz level. USD weakness was likely the key factor behind gold’s recovery.”
What to expect: The U.S congress may vote on the US$1.9 trillion stimulus package in the coming days, which should hold gold’s appeal as inflation concerns and reflation appeal suggest gold is a good hedge.
World’s largest oil producer loses four million barrels per day
Oil traders are going bullish on the black liquid hydrocarbon, over the unprecedented cold snap in a leading American energy hub, Texas
Oil prices were all fired up at the first trading session of the week.
The unusual winter storm playing in key areas of the world’s largest producer of oil saw an estimated four million barrels per day of oil output shut down in Texas and other states, alongside 21 billion cubic feet of natural gas output.
Oil traders are going bullish on the black liquid hydrocarbon, over the unprecedented cold snap in leading American energy hub, Texas. Also giving crude oil bulls enough gas to stay at least above the $60 price level is the recent progress against the COVID-19 pandemic, in turn, raising hopes for energy demand recovery.
What you should know
- Most recent data retrieved from the Energy Information Administration reveal the United States is currently the world’s largest producer of oil, producing about 19.45 million barrels per day or 19% of the world’s total crude oil production in 2019.
- At press time, Brent crude futures rallied by 1.13% to $62.84 a barrel with the Brent crude contract turning over in February 21 to the May 21 contract.
Stephen Innes, Chief Global Market Strategist at Axi, in a note to Nairametrics, gave key insights on other macros weighing on oil prices at least for the near term amid high positivity prevailing in global financial markets
“What began as a power issue for a handful of US states quickly turned into a global supply shock for the oil markets. Still, the re-start of shut-in US production and news that the Biden administration is exploring diplomatic re-engagement with Iran have contributed to a cooling of oil prices, despite the bullish inventory data.
“But “the day after”, see oil prices nudging higher amid ongoing evidence of recovery in global demand, mostly good news on the Covid-19 trends and anticipation of a nearly 2 trillion US stimulus designed to get people working again quickly.”
What to expect
- The sharp surge in crude oil prices before OPEC+’s all-important meeting next month means the calculus for the OPEC+ alliance becomes more complicated.
- However, as oil output stays constrained, crude oil stockpiles are dropping and with COVID-19 vaccines promising a return towards normalcy at the end of the day, expectations continue to run high for oil markets.
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